QATAR, noviembre 2001: From Mexico to Geneva to Singapore: Will 142 Members Count in the Final Ministerial Declaration of the WTO?
 

 

Monday, October 8, 2001

The draft texts for both Implementation Issues and the Ministerial Texts of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) were discussed last week in Geneva. On Monday, October 1, many countries made statements about their dissatisfaction with the implementation text and on October 2, they made general statements about their reaction to the proposed draft ministerial declaration. Most developing countries were so dissatisfied with the implementation text that they postponed the Special Session on implementation scheduled for October 3 in anticipation of a better draft pending further consultations. Many countries have also made very strong statements of disapproval of the Draft Ministerial Text. The Chair of the General Council has been advised to provide a revised draft. This draft can be expected later this week or at least before the Singapore meeting scheduled for October 12-13.

The Singapore meeting is a follow-up to the Mexico meeting where only 19 of the 142 membership of the WTO were invited. The Singapore meeting is also "invitation only" as told to other Geneva delegations who wish to attend. It promises to be a green room away from Geneva where discussions on the Ministerial including points of conflict and consensus on the draft text will be held. Though the WTO secretariat is not organizing it, it will be represented. These two key meetings where WTO decisions are discussed in the absence of 87% of its members leaves the organization and its most powerful members open to all the criticisms of an undemocratic and nontransparent process that have been associated with the WTO since Seattle.

Shared below are perspectives about the ministerial text based on some conversations with delegations from Africa, Latin America and Asia. These perspectives include actual statements from the block of Least Developing Countries (LDCs), the Africa Group and India. They also include statements made by the Indian and Pakistani Ambassadors at a meeting organized by the Modern Asia Research Centre on October 4.
The LDCs represent thirty of the most poor and marginalised member countries of the WTO. There are 48 LDCs in the world as recognised by the UN system. They differ in needs and capacity from some of their stronger developing country allies such as India and Pakistan. India and Pakistan are two of the strongest of the Like Minded Group of developing countries at the WTO. The African Group represents 41 countries and includes strong economies such as Egypt and South Africa and the perspectives of developing sub-Saharan nations.

In particular, the statements by the LDCs, the African Group and other key developing countries demonstrate two years since Seattle that the process and principles of "internal transparency and inclusive decision-making" still do not reflect the work of the World Trade Organisation. While there have been more "open-ended meetings" and updates of green room meetings at the General Council, these two drafts, which ought to represent the essence of WTO work, have been much further off the mark than the majority of the WTO members expected. Surprising also is the lack of coverage by trade and development press of some of the strongest critiques made to date by a large block of countries like the LDCs. If the WTO is truly concerned about the health of the multilateral trading system it embodies, then it must take these criticisms seriously, if not from an engaged civil society outside its doors, then at least from the majority of its own members.

The Preamble

The first two paragraphs of the preamble of the draft ministerial text received widespread criticism from many developing countries. The text applauds the multilateral trading system (MTS) for promoting "economic growth, development and employment for the past fifty years." It continues, "We are determined, particularly in the light of the global economic slowdown, to maintain the process of reform and liberalization of trade policies, thus ensuring that the system plays its full part in promoting recovery and growth."

The LDC statement in response to the preamble text: "It is undeniable that the trading system has several positive aspects. However the preamble is imbalanced in not recognising the points made by LDCs and other developing countries on the downside in the operations and implementation of the system, such as the imbalances in the rules, the inequitable distribution of benefits and losses, the lack of tangible benefits to poorer countries, the massive losses to poor countries and poor people from the continuous decline in commodity prices and terms of trade, or the threats to livelihood and jobs when small firms and small farmers are unable to cope with the flood of cheap imports. In short, the marginalisation of LDCs and some other developing countries should be mentioned so that there is recognition of these problems by Ministers with the view to resolving them."

India stated, "Incidentally, I would also like to mention that paragraphs 1 and 2 appear to paint a very rosy picture of the multilateral trading system. While we all appreciate the need for a rule based multilateral system, it may not be very desirable to ignore the reality that the fruits of the system are not available to all countries in an equitable manner. All of us are aware that there is no credible assessment, as of today, of the benefit derived by developing countries from the Uruguay Round Agreements. In the light of these considerations, some adjustment to the language in paragraphs 1 and 2 will be appropriate in order to make it more balanced.

"We disagree with the suggestion in paragraph 9 of the preamble that the Ministers agree to undertake the broad Work Programme. As you will see Mr. Chairman, it is precisely this broadness of the work programme that causes us maximum difficulty in your draft."

The Pakistani Ambassador, Munir Akram, commented on the October 4 gathering that the "economic slowdown" referred to in the preamble is "extraneous to the negotiations of the WTO," and though there may be psychological impacts of new negotiations, the idea that the problem of the economic slowdown may in part be resolved by new negotiations, "remains questionable."

Finally, the Africa group requested "that the preamble should reflect the experiences and aspirations of all members in the multilateral trading system. There is also a fine distinction between what the multilateral trading system, could, should be and is achieving." The group stood by its September 23rd Declaration of African Trade Ministers in Abuja, which stated that "there is a an urgent need for development issues to be put on center-stage at the WTO…the objective should be the achievement of global growth and development for all members, while decisively addressing the present inequities in the MTS."

Ministerial Text

The African Group: "It is our view in the Africa Group that meaningful progress on this document can only be achieved when we have filled in the gaps in sections dealing with Implementation, Agriculture, TRIPS, and Special and Differential Treatment. These are critical areas for developing countries in general and the Africa Group in particular. Indeed they are critical for all members particularly in view of the linkages between all the sections of the Draft Declaration."

Non-Agricultural or Industrial Tariffs

The multilateral trading system is currently under scrutiny and being judged as to its fairness and decision making process for all of its members. LDCs oppose the inclusion of any new issues including non-agricultural tariffs citing the de-industrialisation that has resulted in their countries through autonomous liberalisation, while other developing countries are now softening to the inclusion of industrial tariffs.

Tanzania, as LDC coordinator: "We would like to remind Members that during the stocktaking meeting in June 2001, the Co-ordinator of the LDCs in the WTO, in his statement, had highlighted the problem of de-industrialisation faced by many LDCs as a result of removal or reduction of tariffs in the industrial sector. In many LDCs, there has been the closure of many local firms in many sectors, and the loss of manufacturing jobs. Keeping this major problem in mind, we view with concern and we are unable to accept para 13 on negotiations on non-agricultural products. LDCs require more time before agreeing to fresh negotiations in this area."

While India has acknowledged the problems of de-industrialisation and is cautioning against an agreement that will disenfranchise LDCs, it is willing to negotiate on non-agriculture tariffs if 1) tariffs on value-added products of developing countries are made top priority 2) if implementation issues are resolved and 3) if concessions are made on the extension of Geographical Indications under the TRIPs agreement:

"Our suggestion is to make the reduction or elimination of tariff peaks, tariff escalations and the application of specific and mixed and compound duties on products of export interest to developing countries, the specific objective of the proposed negotiations. We are proceeding on the basis that your draft does not imply that the developing countries including least developed countries will not have the freedom not to bind their tariffs in respect of certain sensitive items…There should be a clear commitment that the reduction for elimination of tariff peaks, tariff escalation and specific and mixed and compound duties in the developed countries will not be conditional on concessions from the developing countries. Furthermore, it should be clearly stipulated that developing countries shall not be required to offer reciprocal concessions."

Singapore Issues:

Most countries have unequivocally spoken against the "clean text" presentation of government procurement and trade facilitation and maintain that there is no consensus on including Investment and Competition for negotiations.

India: "While I respect and understand the wishes of some of my colleagues for launching of negotiations in these four areas, I am sure they will acknowledge that even in the meetings convened by the proponents themselves, it became absolutely clear that there was no consensus in favour of changing the study mode into negotiation mode in respect of any one of these subjects. Therefore, I am a bit surprised that in respect of Government procurement and trade facilitation, your draft provides commencement of negotiations as the only option in these two areas."

LDCs: "At Zanzibar, LDC Ministers indicated that they are not willing to accept the four "Singapore issues" (investment, competition, transparency in government procurement and trade facilitation) as subjects for negotiations for new rules… The LDC Ministers indicated that the four "Singapore issues" were not yet ripe for negotiations as the issues were complex and the LDCs were not able to fully understand the implications for them.

"On investment, the LDC Ministers said the implications for development of a multilateral investment agreement of whatever type have not been fully discussed nor understood. On competition, they said that most LDCs do not have competition laws in place, lack capacity to enforce them, find the relation between competition and development to be complex and have difficulty for introducing anti-competitive policies in their dualistic economies. LDCs had also not yet comprehended the implications of framework on transparency in government procurement in the WTO, how it would affect development, and the issues are complex with divergent views existing. On trade facilitation, the Ministers said this area does not require new rule making."

New Round

LDCs: "Paragraphs 36-42 clearly indicate the launching of a new Round, i.e. the conclusion of negotiations by a dateline, the formation of a Trade Negotiations Committee, a single undertaking. LDC Ministers have already stated that LDCs are unable to undertake a broad agenda due to lack of capacity and inability to absorb more commitments. Thus this section of the draft has to be amended to reflect that LDCs would not want a new Round nor elements of such a Round."

African Group: "Our view is that we defer consideration of this section (paras 36-42) until such time as we have agreed on the elements of the Work Programme. However, we strongly believe that it is important to develop language on paragraph 40 that formalizes a Ministerial decision on transparent and inclusive decision-making in the WTO."

India: "Mr. Chairman, you will not be surprised if I say that I have serious concerns with many elements as well as the structure of the Draft. The fundamental concern for my delegation is that the fact that though the draft does not use the word "round" anywhere, the implication of the draft declaration appears to launch an open-ended new round of negotiations with all the traditional elements of a round as seen during the Uruguay Round, built into it...

"When I first glanced through your draft, I got the impression that there was no "round" in it, in as much as I saw only the first two-thirds of the draft. But subsequently, when I looked at paragraphs 36 to 39 and 42, all ideas, concepts and trappings which go to make a "round" have been included in these paragraphs. We feel that these paragraphs closely mirror the Punta Declaration. Somehow the fact that since (January 1, 1995), we have a permanent negotiating forum and that we are no longer in the GATT era seems to have been overlooked. We do not see as to why there should be a trade negotiation committee. We have the General Council in the WTO as provided for under Article IV.2 of the WTO Agreement. This is the supreme organ of the WTO next only to Ministerial Conference. Moreover, in the intervals between the meeting of the Ministerial Conference, its functions shall be conducted by the General Council. Therefore, it is beyond my comprehension as to why there is need to introduce a new structure "trade negotiation committee" and then go on to say rather defensively that the new structure will be under the authority of the General Council."

Single Undertaking

Along with objections to a new round, many countries also objected to the use of the word "single undertaking" in the draft ministerial text. Historically, "single undertaking" was coined in the beginning of the Uruguay Round as a way to convey that all negotiations would begin and end at the same time. No one agreement could be completed in its negotiation before all of the agreements had been negotiated. There was a vague understanding that all members did not have to negotiate on all of the agreements. However, by the end of the Uruguay Round, this concept of harmonizing the conclusion of all negotiations had been changed to: all members have to accept all agreements under the Uruguay Round or not be part of the WTO. TRIPS and TRIMS, to the dismay of most developing countries, were included as part of this "Single Undertaking."
The following quote by the Indian Ambassador refers to this historic process and suggests that the concept of single undertaking need not apply if members decide to continue negotiating on existing issues. Furthermore, he stresses that any open-ended sentences on the future work programme must be clarified in advance rather than future surprises due to "open" language.

India: "In para 38, there is a reference to the idea of single undertaking. First, I am not very sure whether there is clarity about this concept. I remember, Mr. Chairman, one of your illustrious predecessors mentioned in a meeting in this very same hall that the concept of single undertaking had a particular connotation at the time of Punta Declaration and that the concept acquired a different connotation towards the end of Uruguay Round negotiations. To the best of my knowledge, if the negotiations are limited to existing areas, the concept of single undertaking may not have much relevance, as it will be quite impractical to implement the new obligations in these areas only with respect to some Members and leave it out in respect of others. We have an uncomfortable feeling that reference to single undertaking in the Draft might be a pointer towards inclusion of new subjects, a prospect which we do not look forward to. Moreover, your paragraph 42 is so ambiguous and open ended that many developing countries whose memories about Uruguay Round are still fresh genuinely feel threatened by this paragraph."

Environment

Developing Countries are concerned about the EU's stance on environment. The EU has said that the wording on the environment is too weak and that it must include language on precautionary principle and labeling. Norway expressed dissatisfaction with weak language on environment. Meanwhile, developing countries continue to maintain that the environment cannot be used as a protectionist measure. As part of the CTE, however, developing countries are suggesting that Southern environmental concerns such as the relationship between the TRIPS agreement and the Convention on Biological Diversity should be included in this paragraph.

Labor could be a deal breaker

EU has also pushed for stronger wording on labor. However, developing countries have indicated that the current language on labor is the maximum they will allow. Labor could be the strongest deal breaker of a round if it were to be included or pushed by developed countries.

Other Issues

US has maintained its stance that anti-dumping does not need to be revisited, that it is still an agreement that many countries do not have enough experience with and needs more time. The US could also be using this stance as a potential trade off for receiving further market access in Agriculture. Discussion has begun on drafting language for Agriculture, one of the most contentious and important areas for developing countries. There seem to be ongoing conflicts between developed and developing countries--a particularly controversial issue is the use of export credits as a way of subsidizing US Agriculture exports, while France does not want to concede any export subsidies as part of the EC negotiating platform.

The Chair has also been charged to draft a text on a Ministerial Health Declaration. Developing Countries are still pushing for clarity that nothing in the TRIPS agreement will prevent Members from taking measures to protect public health.

Finally, developing countries have proposed a separate binding framework agreement on Special and Differential Treatment. Consultations are continuing on this issue.

Conclusion

Currently, none of the paragraphs of the Ministerial Text are being debated on a "negotiation" basis. Countries are waiting for more results from consultations. Will there be a new consensus after the Singapore meeting at the end of this week? And whose voices will count? In the next 5 weeks before Doha, the 142 members must come to terms with a just plan of action on implementation issues. Developing countries have stressed that the implementation text prior to Seattle which highlighted approximately 97 issues is the best text upon which to base discussions. In the two years since Seattle, this text has been watered down to smaller and smaller "tirets" of implementation issues. The proposed draft implementation text deals with about 47 (to be addressed prior to or at Doha). The other remaining 50 or so tirets are not even mentioned. Ambassador Akram from Pakistan commented, "the May 3rd 2000 decision on implementation mandated that all important issues were to be addressed and decided upon by Doha." Developing Countries expect all of the 97 or so tirets to be tackled as a valid part of the agenda of the Ministerial Conference.

Final Notes: Rethinking Unconditional Liberalisation

The Indian Ambassador said on October 4 that there are three basic problems with the multilateral trading system.

1) There are signed agreements that were supposed to give benefits to developing countries and did not deliver.
2) There are in-built obvious imbalances and inequities within the system such as the TRIPS agreement, the Anti-dumping agreement (where the US has repeatedly invoked its clauses to protect its markets), and the Subsidies agreement where almost all developing country subsidies are looked at less favorably while developed countries have been able to continue their subsidies.
3) Special and Differential Treatment Provisions have never been operationalised.
The Indian Ambassador's message has been that if governments want to strengthen the multilateral system, it is not through adding new issues, but rather through rebalancing the institution and putting development at its center. He commented on the idea of liberalisation by saying that developing countries have to pay too high a price now if they want to have the flexibility to reverse some of their liberalisation policies. He gave the example of India having reduced its tariffs on rice to zero percent in 1948 through the GATT. Since then, India has paid the price of bringing its rice tariffs up to a level where it could protect its rice farmers by reducing tariffs in many other vital sectors of its economy. He said that developed countries keep using the words, "development round." But for that to happen, the "existing development deficit has to be dealt with," and that "developing countries cannot be forced to run faster than they are able to run." He even went as far as to say that tariff liberalisation policies under structural adjustment have lead to deindustrialisation in many parts of the world and that a " one size fits all" solution can no longer be applied.

Shefali Sharma
Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy--Geneva

 




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